The economists for the UK leaving the EEC and staying in have fought themselves to a standstill – it would seem that which ever way you are tribally inclined you will pick the economics that supports your inclination. My reason for wanting to stay in the EU is political. And I know that the Brexiteers will talk about laws being made in Brussels and British autonomy being weakened. Though I would look at the last 30 years and say that Britain has been remarkably autonomous in terms of our national identity so more of the same as far as I am concerned.
Here are my questions. Is Britain capable of fighting a land war in Europe? And how many French refugees would we be able to take? Is Britain able to feed 60 million people using its own resources? If the answers to any of these is no. Then I respectfully suggest that leaving the EU would be a silly thing to do since the partnerships of the last 60 years has kept Western Europe peaceful for that time. I never did national service and I don’t expect to see my son conscripted to defend the United Kingdom. The Brexiteers say that just won’t and can’t happen. But the very confidence they have is because of the political stability we have been enjoying and which we destabilise by withdrawing. Has come because of the European community which has made war unimaginable. When you revert to nation states and start to use blockades to protect yourself war follows very soon. Why have the oil prices been all over the place. Ukraine that’s why. Nation states create instability because they behave unilaterally if they can. Large trading b locs are forced into multilateral behaviour. The talk of the Brexiteers is unilateral -even if economically that will not be possible even if we withdraw.
I acknowledge the unwieldiness inefficiency and cost of bureaucracy in Brussels Frankfurt Luxemburg and Strasburg. But that is nothing compared with the inefficiency and cost of a land war. Our defence is dominated by the felt need to reciprocate against a nuclear attack. We are not strong enough to protect ourselves from conventional attack. Stay in.